The 2024 Cochrane review covered 34 trials and 8,526 participants. On duration it concluded there is probably little or no difference: mean difference −0.63 days (95% CI −1.29 to 0.04), I²=77%, 3 studies, 740 participants, moderate certainty. Confidence across the review was mostly low to very low, and most studies were at unclear or high risk of bias in at least one domain.
A published critique disputes the pooling. Hemilä and Chalker argue the analysis mixed lozenges with capsules, powders, tablets, syrups and intranasal routes — despite the proposed mechanism being local action in the mouth and throat — and mixed a paediatric trial in with adult ones despite significant heterogeneity between them (P=0.0001).
Re-analysing the same Cochrane-included trials, restricted to lozenges in adults and using ratio of means, they report colds shortened by 37% (95% CI 27–46%, P=10⁻⁹). Earlier work found 33% across seven trials at above 75 mg/day.
Both analyses are defensible. Which one you believe turns on whether you think route of administration should have been separated before pooling.
The working
(7 × 0.25) + (6 × 0.35) + (3 × 0.25) + (9 × 0.15) = 6.0
Consistency scores 3. This is not uncertainty in the data, it is a live methodological dispute between two competent analyses of overlapping trials.
- MetaNault D, et al. Zinc for prevention and treatment of the common cold Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2024 · doi 10.1002/14651858.CD014914.pub2 · 34 trials, 8,526 participants
- MetaHemilä H, Chalker E. Shortcomings in the Cochrane review on zinc for the common cold (2024) Front Med 2024;11:1470004 · PMID 39478818 · re-analysis RoM 0.63